China M2: Liquidity Trap — Isn't a Shortage

Investors are positioning for a drop in money supply growth, fearing that cash is sitting idle rather than fueling inflation.

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How the tape may move from the last update’s mark — not from the open, and not the session % already printed.

Low velocity will persist, keeping inflation muted and currency weak

Expected Move From Here -1.5% to +2.0% From last update, not from the open

Certainty 62%

Why

If M2 beats expectations, it suggests a sudden surge in spending that contradicts current velocity trends